August 2018 |
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Choosing a Light or a Black Mirror When we consider how buildings can manipulate our emotions, we also are considering how our emotions can manipulate buildings. |
Toby Considine |
“If
it has to do with heating, lighting, or mobility for human beings on
this planet, we’re interested in it.”- Darryl Willis,
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Last
month, in the July issue, Ken Sinclair called for smart buildings to
spearhead an improved relationship between the physical, the virtual and the emotional world.
Relationships go two ways. When we consider how buildings can
manipulate our emotions, we also are considering how our emotions can
manipulate buildings.
The sci-fi anthology series Black Mirror explores a near-future where
humanity's greatest innovations and dark side collide. Last week,
Daikin and NEC announced that they had developed a system that monitors
the movement of the employee's eyelids and hits dozing workers with a
blast of cold air. More are growing aware that traditional cloud
practices have a dark side in the erosion of privacy and often misuses
of personal data. Will Ken’s call lead to better buildings or to their
dark mirror?
Crude interactions will predominate at first because buildings have no
way to empathize with their occupants. The early phases of emotional
relationships with buildings will be crude, based on specific purpose
driven metrics developed by building engineers responding to occupant
middle management—two groups that may not be the most empathic
themselves.
More subtly, Daikin / NEC collaboration begins lowering the ambient
temperature when it detects people are getting sleepier.
Today, IT throws up artificial intelligence (AI) as the answer to every
new problem. In the Internet of Things (IoT), this usually means
combining several variants of regression analysis based on concrete
models of mechanical systems. This model will not take us far down the
road to Artificial Emotional Intelligence (AEI)
Humans can respond to mutual emotions because they are able to share
them. In some theories, this is based on our mirror neurons. A mirror
neuron fires both when we act and when we see someone else performing
the same action. As we subtly shift our posture and our face to match
that of those around us, we learn how they feel by feeling how we feel.
Buildings can’t do this. Yet.
AEI will rely on highly abstract models of human actions and
interactions. Humans are too complex to collect and transmit all data
to a remote cloud, or even to the building-based cloud if there are
more than a few people being tracked. Simple systems will transform
data into these abstract models at the edge, and only the abstractions
will be sent to the cloud. Where desirable, this enables anonymous and
privatized data to be processed alongside personalized data.
These abstract models will become the “mirror neurons” of the
building-based systems. Building-based systems will respond not by
trying to mimic humans, but by comparing edge-based abstraction of
human behavior to the abstract human models they have internally.
Potential responses will then be filtered to the IoT by a repeated
de-abstraction (“make alert” to “more cooling” or “more ventilation” or
“more light”) to potential specific, concrete choices. The final
choices will be made by traditional engineered systems, based on
economic outcomes (such as energy use) and engineered choices such as
ASHRAE considerations (air turns, humidity control, etc.). Edge
processing will the send the abstracted effects of these choices back
into the regression models.
The Classification of Everyday Life (COEL) is a recently completed specification. COEL is an OASIS
specification, just as are OBIX, SAML, and the specifications for
Transactive Energy. COEL is already an international ecosystem with
multiple implementations based around Coelition.
COEL was designed from the ground up to support modern privacy law,
necessary for products to reach to international markets. COEL defines
creating, transmitting, and storing the behavioral abstractions needed
to create the “mirror neurons” for AEI.
This can be hard to map one’s head around. I’ll start with my own
child-like understanding and description of some early COEL apps.
The hottest topics in health care are Evidence-Based Medicine and
Standards of Care. Evidence-Based Medicine aims to optimize
decision-making by emphasizing well-designed and well-conducted
research to build strong recommendations in meta-analyses, systematic
reviews, and randomized controlled trials. Standards of Care refers to
detailed sequences of medicine that may continue over the years and may
include, in the most difficult processes, hundreds of clinical events.
A Standard of Care for orthopedic surgery may start with pre-surgery
“pre-hab” (getting strong enough to benefit from the surgery), to a
couple weeks of pre-surgery preparation, to the all the events the day
of and the day after the surgery, to programs for rehabilitation after
the surgery.
[an error occurred while processing this directive]Zooming
in, without evidence of pre-hab fitness, it may be worthless or even
dangerous to proceed to surgery. The best post-surgery outcomes involve
both sending the patient home quickly and making sure the patient is
returning to the level of exercise and activity. For the single
patient, this requires tracking and analysis of what the patient is
doing outside the hospital. For Evidence-based Medicine, this requires
factoring the patient response and activity back into the meta-analyses
and systematic reviews.
But what is the patient doing at home? Medical decisions during pre-hab
and rehab may be based on levels of physical activity. Counting trips
to the gym or physical therapist is at best inadequate and at worst
misleading. One patient may go to the gym and stand around watching
CNN. Another patient may not go to the gym often but might use the
stairs at home and at work. Coelition member Activinsights
already makes Android apps that can analyze the individual from a
wearable device, abstract the data into COEL-based information, and
present privacy-protecting, pseudo-anonymized, COEL Atoms to support
clinical and research decisions.
While developed to support clinical work, these Apps can make
personally useful predictions. Active Insights apps can predict when
each person is most likely to be alert, and able to make good
decisions. Simple environmental monitoring can bring a feedback loop
into building operations. It is easy to imagine apps that also COEL
abstractions for physical activity into personal recommendations for
alertness and for re-setting the body after jet-lag.
But this is a building-based audience. It is not hard to imagine a
critical meeting with attendees from many geographic locations.
Personal but fully anonymized COEL biorhythm data is submitted to the
building for each participant. The building then solves final schedule,
ventilation, temperature, lighting level, and perhaps even lighting
color to create the best chance for the best work from each
participant. A conference center that can reliably do this makes a good
case for a premium price. When many knowledge workers work from home or
coffee shop, COEL-submissions to the scheduling server might determine
the time and location of even in-town events.
It has been said that the essence of marketing is to build a
relationship and engagement. Engagement can be measured as
demonstrating to an individual that you know them. In smart healthcare,
patient engagement is best when the patient can recognize themselves in
the data. Building-based AEI enables a building to show its occupants a
mirror to show them that it knows them. That mirror will be a Black
Mirror unless this knowledge also protects privacy and anonymity.
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